- International Market Imports: Silver imported by Singapore from international markets such as London and New York
- Local Recycling: Silver recycling in Singapore's jewelry and industrial sectors
- SGX Delivery: Physical silver for futures contract settlement
On August 11th, Singapore's silver inventory decreased by 23 tons to 5,432 tons, indicating signs of tightening market supply. This inventory decline was mainly influenced by reduced silver supply from international markets.
Demand Side
Singapore's silver demand primarily comes from the following sectors:
- Investment Demand: Including physical silver, silver ETFs, and futures contracts
- Industrial Demand: Industries such as electronics, photovoltaics, and medical
- Jewelry: Jewelry consumption in Singapore and surrounding regions
- Central Bank Reserves: Precious metal reserves of the Monetary Authority of Singapore
Recently, investment demand has significantly increased, with silver ETF holdings rising for several consecutive days, showing enhanced investor confidence in silver. Industrial demand has also maintained steady growth, particularly in the photovoltaics and electronics sectors.
Expert Opinions and Market Forecasts
Expert Opinions
- Li Ming, Chairman of the Singapore Gold and Silver Association: "The current silver market is at a critical turning point, with multiple factors driving price increases. Silver prices are expected to remain strong in the short term, but investors should be aware of market volatility risks."
- Wang Hua, Precious Metals Analyst at DBS: "The silver-to-gold ratio is currently at a historical low, which indicates that silver is undervalued relative to gold. With the continuous recovery of industrial demand, silver is expected to experience a catch-up rally."
- Zhang Wei, Head of Commodities Research at Standard Chartered Bank: "The expectation of a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is a key factor driving silver prices up. If inflation data continues to decline, silver prices are expected to break through the $65 mark in the fourth quarter."
Market Forecast
Based on the current market conditions and expert opinions, we make the following forecasts for the future trend of the Singapore silver market:
- Short-Term Trend (1-4 weeks): Silver prices are expected to test the resistance level of $63.80. If this level is effectively broken, it may further rise to the $64.50 range. The support level is near $62.20.
- Medium-Term Trend (1-3 months): With increasing expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, silver prices are expected to continue rising, targeting the $65-$67 range. The sustained recovery of industrial demand will provide support for the price.
- Long-Term Trend (6-12 months): Silver prices are expected to challenge the $70 mark, but achieving this target requires the cooperation of a sustained global economic recovery and easing inflationary pressures. Investors should closely monitor Federal Reserve policy and geopolitical developments.
Investment Strategy Recommendations
Short-Term Traders
- Long Strategy: Establish a long position near $62.50, setting a stop loss at $61.80, with a target of $63.80.
Medium to Long-Term Investors
- Staggered Accumulation: Begin building positions near the current price, completing in 3-4 batches to lower the average cost
- ETF Allocation: Consider increasing the proportion of silver ETFs in the portfolio, but keep it within 5-10% of total assets
- Physical Silver: Investors with physical storage capacity can appropriately allocate some physical silver as a hedge asset
Risk Management
- Position Sizing: Risk per trade should not exceed 2-3% of total capital
- Stop-Loss Setting: Strictly set stop-losses to avoid emotional trading
- Diversification: Do not invest all funds in the silver market; asset diversification should be maintained
- Information Tracking: Closely monitor Federal Reserve policies, geopolitical situations, and changes in industrial demand
Conclusion
On August 11, 2026, the Singapore silver market showed an upward trend, with the spot silver price breaking through the $63/ounce mark, reaching a two-week high. This trend is mainly influenced by multiple factors, including the weakening US dollar, escalating geopolitical tensions, and a continuous recovery in industrial demand.
From a technical perspective, the silver price has broken through a key resistance level and is expected to test higher levels in the short term. However, investors should also be aware of market volatility risks, especially uncertainties that may arise from changes in Federal Reserve policy and geopolitical developments.
We have provided tailored strategy recommendations for different types of investors, including short-term trading strategies, medium to long-term investment strategies, and risk management measures. Investors should formulate a suitable investment strategy based on their own risk tolerance and investment goals.
Overall, the current Singapore silver market shows a positive development trend, but investors must remain cautious and closely monitor market changes, flexibly adjusting investment strategies. Driven by the dual factors of expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and industrial demand recovery, the silver market is expected to maintain a strong performance in the coming months.
